Sholing 0-3 Merthyr Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.32
Draw
29%
4.08
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
13%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-3.8pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.4pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sholing EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 57%
+14% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.49/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.42
+14% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
190 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sholing
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Merthyr Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
07.09.2024 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 3-0 HT 2-0 Sholing Sholing İNGNLP
23.12.2023 Sholing Sholing 0-2 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
26.08.2023 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Sholing Sholing İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sholing
0-3
AWAY Merthyr Town
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sholing vs Merthyr Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town swept aside Sholing 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Merthyr Town as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sholing had 44% of the ball to Merthyr Town's 56%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Merthyr Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Sholing and 2.33 for Merthyr Town.

What was the final score of Sholing vs Merthyr Town?

Sholing 0-3 Merthyr Town in the England - Non League Premier on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sholing vs Merthyr Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sholing 22%, draw 29%, Merthyr Town 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Merthyr Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Merthyr Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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