Gefle 1-2 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
3.32
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
41%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
26%
+12.2pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.9pp
41%
Away Win
48%
-7.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gefle EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 52%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.61/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.62
+24% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gefle
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Vasalund IF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 6
06.11.2022 Gefle Gefle 1-1 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
18.06.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 0-1 HT 0-0 Gefle Gefle İSÇ3
31.10.2020 Gefle Gefle 1-3 HT 0-2 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gefle
1-2
AWAY Vasalund IF
80% Ball Possession 20%
4 Total Shots
2 Shots on Target
3 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Gefle vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasalund IF nicked a narrow win over Gefle 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 21% / 41%) promised a tight game; Vasalund IF found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Gefle had 80% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 20%, shots finished 4-–.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gefle and 1.33 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of Gefle vs Vasalund IF?

Gefle 1-2 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gefle vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gefle 39%, draw 21%, Vasalund IF 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vasalund IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ3 More Sweden - 1st Division
18 Apr 2025
14:00 BK Olympic vs Torslanda IK Analysis →
14:00 Ljungskile vs Husqvarna FF Analysis →
14:00 Stocksund vs Örebro Syrianska Analysis →
14:00 Karlbergs BK vs Enköpings SK Analysis →
14:00 Angelholm vs AFC Malmö Analysis →
17:00 Hassleholms IF vs FC Trollhattan Analysis →