Angelholm 2-1 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
39%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.2pp
39%
Away Win
41%
-2.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angelholm EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 45%
+28% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.58/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.95
+11% / +80% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angelholm
2W-0D-2L
AWAY AFC Malmö
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Angelholm Angelholm 3-2 HT 1-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
19.04.2024 AFC Malmö 3-1 HT 2-1 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
15.10.2023 Angelholm Angelholm 4-0 HT 3-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
14.06.2023 AFC Malmö 1-0 HT 0-0 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angelholm
2-1
AWAY AFC Malmö
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Angelholm vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angelholm squeezed past AFC Malmö 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 39%) promised a tight game; Angelholm found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Angelholm had 40% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 60%, shots finished 4-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Angelholm and 1.50 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of Angelholm vs AFC Malmö?

Angelholm 2-1 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angelholm vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Angelholm 30%, draw 31%, AFC Malmö 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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