Angelholm 3-2 AFC Malmö — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
43%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
43%
Away Win
50%
-7.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.3pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angelholm EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Malmö EU Bookmakers 55%
+35% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.52/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/2.46
+19% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -49%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angelholm
1W-0D-2L
AWAY AFC Malmö
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 AFC Malmö 3-1 HT 2-1 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
15.10.2023 Angelholm Angelholm 4-0 HT 3-0 AFC Malmö İSÇ3
14.06.2023 AFC Malmö 1-0 HT 0-0 Angelholm Angelholm İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angelholm
3-2
AWAY AFC Malmö
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Angelholm vs AFC Malmö
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Angelholm squeezed past AFC Malmö 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was AFC Malmö at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Angelholm had 39% of the ball to AFC Malmö's 61%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, AFC Malmö led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Angelholm and 1.33 for AFC Malmö.

What was the final score of Angelholm vs AFC Malmö?

Angelholm 3-2 AFC Malmö in the Sweden - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angelholm vs AFC Malmö?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Malmö win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Angelholm 33%, draw 24%, AFC Malmö 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (AFC Malmö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Malmö) ✓ Over 2.5
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