Assyriska 2-3 Karlbergs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.29
Over 2.5
44%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.49
No
51%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
40%
+16.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
60%
-16.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
63%
-14.1pp
51%
BTTS No
37%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 37%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.24/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.01
-19% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +47%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
255 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Karlbergs BK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.05.2024 Karlbergs BK Karlbergs BK 3-1 HT 2-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
2-3
AWAY Karlbergs BK
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Karlbergs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK edged past Assyriska 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Karlbergs BK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Assyriska had 38% of the ball to Karlbergs BK's 62%, shots finished 13-15.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Karlbergs BK?

Assyriska 2-3 Karlbergs BK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Karlbergs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assyriska win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 37%, draw 29%, Karlbergs BK 34%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Assyriska) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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