Vasalund IF 0-1 Pitea IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.64
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
14%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-16.0pp
31%
Draw
23%
+8.1pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+7.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +32%
1.89/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.86
-1% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
387 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasalund IF
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Pitea IF
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.05.2024 Pitea IF Pitea IF 0-1 HT 0-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
22.10.2023 Pitea IF Pitea IF 2-0 HT 0-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
15.04.2023 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-1 HT 1-1 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
02.10.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 6-3 HT 3-2 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
27.07.2022 Pitea IF Pitea IF 6-2 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasalund IF
0-1
AWAY Pitea IF
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Vasalund IF vs Pitea IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pitea IF nicked a narrow win over Vasalund IF 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Vasalund IF at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Vasalund IF had 53% of the ball to Pitea IF's 47%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Vasalund IF had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Vasalund IF and 2.40 for Pitea IF.

What was the final score of Vasalund IF vs Pitea IF?

Vasalund IF 0-1 Pitea IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasalund IF vs Pitea IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vasalund IF 41%, draw 31%, Pitea IF 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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