Pitea IF 0-1 Vasalund IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.5pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.4pp
34%
Away Win
44%
-9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +3%
1.22/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.46
-8% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
297 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pitea IF
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Vasalund IF
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Pitea IF Pitea IF 2-0 HT 0-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
15.04.2023 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-1 HT 1-1 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
02.10.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 6-3 HT 3-2 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
27.07.2022 Pitea IF Pitea IF 6-2 HT 1-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pitea IF
0-1
AWAY Vasalund IF
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pitea IF vs Vasalund IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vasalund IF nicked a narrow win over Pitea IF 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Vasalund IF found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Pitea IF had 49% of the ball to Vasalund IF's 51%, shots finished 3-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Pitea IF and 2.50 for Vasalund IF.

What was the final score of Pitea IF vs Vasalund IF?

Pitea IF 0-1 Vasalund IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pitea IF vs Vasalund IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pitea IF win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Pitea IF 34%, draw 32%, Vasalund IF 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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