Tvaaker 3-0 Norrby IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.8pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.2pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tvaaker EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Norrby IF EU Bookmakers 51%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.11/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.74
-8% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +65%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tvaaker
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Norrby IF
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.09.2023 Tvaaker Tvaaker 1-2 HT 1-1 Norrby IF Norrby IF İSÇ3
10.06.2023 Norrby IF Norrby IF 2-3 HT 2-1 Tvaaker Tvaaker İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tvaaker
3-0
AWAY Norrby IF
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tvaaker vs Norrby IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tvaaker cruised past Norrby IF 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Norrby IF at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tvaaker had 51% of the ball to Norrby IF's 49%, shots finished 14-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tvaaker and 2.00 for Norrby IF.

What was the final score of Tvaaker vs Norrby IF?

Tvaaker 3-0 Norrby IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tvaaker vs Norrby IF?

Before kick-off our model rated an Norrby IF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tvaaker 35%, draw 19%, Norrby IF 46%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Norrby IF), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Norrby IF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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