Eskilsminne 2-1 Onsala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-9.9pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eskilsminne EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Onsala EU Bookmakers 26%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+12% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eskilsminne
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Onsala
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
30.07.2022 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 3-1 HT 2-1 Onsala Onsala İSÇ4
02.04.2022 Onsala Onsala 0-1 HT 0-0 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne İSÇ4
25.09.2021 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne 4-1 HT 1-1 Onsala Onsala İSÇ4
27.06.2021 Onsala Onsala 3-2 HT 2-1 Eskilsminne Eskilsminne İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eskilsminne
2-1
AWAY Onsala
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 8
9 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eskilsminne vs Onsala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eskilsminne nicked a narrow win over Onsala 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eskilsminne as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Eskilsminne had 52% of the ball to Onsala's 48%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Eskilsminne had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Eskilsminne and 1.25 for Onsala.

What was the final score of Eskilsminne vs Onsala?

Eskilsminne 2-1 Onsala in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eskilsminne vs Onsala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eskilsminne win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Eskilsminne 44%, draw 27%, Onsala 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eskilsminne), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eskilsminne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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