Umea FC 4-2 Stocksund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 9 May 2024

📅09/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.89
Over 2.5
64%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-4.2pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.0pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
31%
+4.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
69%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.3pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Umea FC EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksund EU Bookmakers 24%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.84/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/2.31
-17% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Umea FC
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Stocksund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
7 Corners 0
10.09.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 3-5 HT 2-3 Stocksund Stocksund İSÇ3
04.06.2023 Stocksund Stocksund 0-1 HT 0-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Umea FC
4-2
AWAY Stocksund
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Umea FC vs Stocksund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC beat Stocksund 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Umea FC as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Umea FC had 41% of the ball to Stocksund's 59%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Umea FC and 2.50 for Stocksund.

What was the final score of Umea FC vs Stocksund?

Umea FC 4-2 Stocksund in the Sweden - 1st Division on 09/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Umea FC vs Stocksund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Umea FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Umea FC 54%, draw 17%, Stocksund 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Umea FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Umea FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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