AFC Eskilstuna 5-4 Stocksund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.96
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.2pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+14.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-14.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.2pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Stocksund EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.01/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/2.48
-5% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stocksund
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 17
12 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Stocksund Stocksund 2-3 HT 1-1 AFC Eskilstuna AFC Eskilstuna İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Eskilstuna
5-4
AWAY Stocksund
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Eskilstuna vs Stocksund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Eskilstuna squeezed past Stocksund 5-4. Half-time: 3-1. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Eskilstuna as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-4 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, AFC Eskilstuna had 41% of the ball to Stocksund's 59%, shots finished 16-15.

What was the final score of AFC Eskilstuna vs Stocksund?

AFC Eskilstuna 5-4 Stocksund in the Sweden - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Eskilstuna vs Stocksund?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Eskilstuna win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split AFC Eskilstuna 51%, draw 25%, Stocksund 25%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Eskilstuna), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Eskilstuna) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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