Karlbergs BK 3-1 Assyriska — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

Karlbergs BK
3-1 HT 2-0
Assyriska
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Sweden - 1st Division – 2024

Karlbergs BK vs Assyriska Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.49
No
40%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS No
37%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Karlbergs BK v Assyriska — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlbergs BK EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Assyriska EU Bookmakers 43%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+6% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +31%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –

Karlbergs BK 3-1 Assyriska — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlbergs BK
3-1
AWAY Assyriska
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karlbergs BK vs Assyriska
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlbergs BK saw off Assyriska 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Karlbergs BK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Karlbergs BK had 44% of the ball to Assyriska's 56%, shots finished 11-21.

What was the final score of Karlbergs BK vs Assyriska?

Karlbergs BK 3-1 Assyriska in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlbergs BK vs Assyriska?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlbergs BK win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Karlbergs BK 40%, draw 28%, Assyriska 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlbergs BK), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Karlbergs BK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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