Hammarby Talang 5-1 Pitea IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+1.9pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 19%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +10%
2.04/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/2.04
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
414 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hammarby Talang
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Pitea IF
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2023 Pitea IF Pitea IF 1-2 HT 0-2 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
01.05.2023 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 3-1 HT 1-0 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
09.10.2022 Pitea IF Pitea IF 1-2 HT 1-1 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
18.04.2022 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 3-2 HT 0-2 Pitea IF Pitea IF İSÇ3
18.04.2021 Pitea IF Pitea IF 2-2 HT 0-1 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby Talang
5-1
AWAY Pitea IF
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 4
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hammarby Talang vs Pitea IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hammarby Talang swept aside Pitea IF 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hammarby Talang as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%) came in.

On the day, Hammarby Talang had 65% of the ball to Pitea IF's 35%, shots finished 21-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Hammarby Talang had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for Hammarby Talang and 1.40 for Pitea IF.

What was the final score of Hammarby Talang vs Pitea IF?

Hammarby Talang 5-1 Pitea IF in the Sweden - 1st Division on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby Talang vs Pitea IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hammarby Talang win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Hammarby Talang 54%, draw 22%, Pitea IF 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hammarby Talang), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hammarby Talang) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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