Haninge 2-1 IF Karlstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
36%
4-5
27%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.9pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haninge EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY IF Karlstad EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.88/2.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.37
+21% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
297 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haninge
1W-2D-3L
AWAY IF Karlstad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
08.10.2022 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 2-1 HT 1-0 Haninge Haninge İSÇ3
02.04.2022 Haninge Haninge 0-0 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
11.09.2021 Haninge Haninge 2-0 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
10.04.2021 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 5-1 HT 3-0 Haninge Haninge İSÇ3
11.10.2020 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad 5-2 HT 3-1 Haninge Haninge İSÇ3
14.06.2020 Haninge Haninge 1-1 HT 0-0 IF Karlstad IF Karlstad İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Haninge
2-1
AWAY IF Karlstad
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 31
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Haninge vs IF Karlstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haninge squeezed past IF Karlstad 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Haninge made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Haninge had 43% of the ball to IF Karlstad's 57%, shots finished 11-31.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IF Karlstad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Haninge and 2.17 for IF Karlstad.

What was the final score of Haninge vs IF Karlstad?

Haninge 2-1 IF Karlstad in the Sweden - 1st Division on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haninge vs IF Karlstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an IF Karlstad win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Haninge 37%, draw 23%, IF Karlstad 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IF Karlstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IF Karlstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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