FC Gute 0-5 Nacka Iliria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Apr 2025

FC Gute
0-5 HT 0-1
Nacka Iliria
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland – 2025

FC Gute vs Nacka Iliria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
41%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-12.4pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Gute v Nacka Iliria — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Gute EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacka Iliria EU Bookmakers 38%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.80/2.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/2.15
+0% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / -21%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH FC Gute vs Nacka Iliria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacka Iliria cruised past FC Gute 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Gute at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of FC Gute vs Nacka Iliria?

FC Gute 0-5 Nacka Iliria in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Gute vs Nacka Iliria?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Gute win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Gute 47%, draw 25%, Nacka Iliria 28%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Gute) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Gute) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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