IFK Trelleborg 2-2 Hogaborgs BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.53
No
49%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.9pp
49%
BTTS No
39%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Hogaborgs BK EU Bookmakers 27%
-31% / -31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
2.04/2.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/2.17
-3% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Trelleborg
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Hogaborgs BK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
15.09.2024 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK 3-2 HT 1-2 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg İSÇ4
20.05.2024 IFK Trelleborg IFK Trelleborg 3-1 HT 0-0 Hogaborgs BK Hogaborgs BK İSÇ4
POST-MATCH IFK Trelleborg vs Hogaborgs BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Trelleborg and Hogaborgs BK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Trelleborg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for IFK Trelleborg and 2.00 for Hogaborgs BK.

What was the final score of IFK Trelleborg vs Hogaborgs BK?

IFK Trelleborg 2-2 Hogaborgs BK in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Trelleborg vs Hogaborgs BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a IFK Trelleborg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IFK Trelleborg 48%, draw 22%, Hogaborgs BK 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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