Empoli U20 1-0 Milan U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Primavera Championship, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Empoli U20 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 48%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.77/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.46
-49% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
244 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Empoli U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Milan U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Milan U20 Milan U20 4-1 HT 3-0 Empoli U20 Empoli U20 İTAPŞ1
POST-MATCH Empoli U20 vs Milan U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Empoli U20 squeezed past Milan U20 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Milan U20 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Empoli U20 vs Milan U20?

Empoli U20 1-0 Milan U20 in the Italy - Primavera Championship on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Empoli U20 vs Milan U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Empoli U20 32%, draw 27%, Milan U20 41%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Milan U20) ✗ BTTS Yes
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