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Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perth Glory (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals
Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
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1-0
HT 0-0
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Perth Glory (K)
AVUSTW
5-2
HT 2-0
Melbourne City (K)
AVUSTW
Perth Glory (K) 1-5 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne City (K) cruised past Perth Glory (K) 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-4. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Perth Glory (K) had 40% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 60%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.94 to 1.45 — the balance of chances actually favoured Perth Glory (K).
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Perth Glory (K) and 2.50 for Melbourne City (K).
What was the final score of Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?
Perth Glory (K) 1-5 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perth Glory (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory (K) 18%, draw 25%, Melbourne City (K) 57%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.