Adelaide United (K) 2-1 Sydney (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 18 Apr 2025

Adelaide United (K)
2-1 HT 1-1
Sydney (K)
📅18/04/2025 · 🕒09:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Adelaide United (K) vs Sydney (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.7pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Adelaide United (K) v Sydney (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+34% / +34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.55/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.76
+11% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
14.3 Crosses 17.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Adelaide United (K) vs Sydney (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United (K)
1W-0D-4L
AWAY Sydney (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.60
1.29 xG 2.13
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 3
290 Passes 333
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.01.2025 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-3 HT 0-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
24.03.2024 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
29.12.2019 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 2-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW
22.11.2019 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
13.12.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 5-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide United (K) Adelaide United (K) AVUSTW

Adelaide United (K) 2-1 Sydney (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Adelaide United (K)
2-1
AWAY Sydney (K)
2.21 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
351 Passes 315
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Adelaide United (K) vs Sydney (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide United (K) squeezed past Sydney (K) 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Adelaide United (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Adelaide United (K) had 52% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 48%, shots finished 21-13, expected goals 2.21 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Adelaide United (K) and 2.60 for Sydney (K).

What was the final score of Adelaide United (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Adelaide United (K) 2-1 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United (K) vs Sydney (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adelaide United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United (K) 38%, draw 28%, Sydney (K) 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adelaide United (K)), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Adelaide United (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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