Khalidiya 3-2 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Copa del Rey, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.69 — our 31% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khalidiya EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.80/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.89
-10% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +118%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khalidiya
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Sitra
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-0 HT 1-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
13.02.2024 Khalidiya Khalidiya 4-1 HT 3-0 Sitra Sitra BAH
24.09.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-2 HT 0-1 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
15.03.2023 Khalidiya Khalidiya 2-2 HT 1-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
12.10.2022 Khalidiya Khalidiya 0-0 HT 0-0 Sitra Sitra BAHKK
05.10.2022 Sitra Sitra 1-2 HT 0-2 Khalidiya Khalidiya BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Khalidiya
3-2
AWAY Sitra
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Khalidiya vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khalidiya nicked a narrow win over Sitra 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Khalidiya as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Khalidiya had 43% of the ball to Sitra's 57%, shots finished 12-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khalidiya had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Khalidiya and 0.67 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Khalidiya vs Sitra?

Khalidiya 3-2 Sitra in the Bahrain - Copa del Rey on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khalidiya vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Khalidiya win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Khalidiya 48%, draw 28%, Sitra 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Khalidiya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Khalidiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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