Malut United 1-1 PSBS Biak Numfor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
55%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malut United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.61/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.78
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +84%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
316 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malut United
1W-0D-0L
AWAY PSBS Biak Numfor
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
02.12.2024 PSBS Biak Numfor PSBS Biak Numfor 1-3 HT 1-2 Malut United Malut United ENDL1
POST-MATCH Malut United vs PSBS Biak Numfor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malut United and PSBS Biak Numfor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Malut United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Malut United vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Malut United 1-1 PSBS Biak Numfor in the Indonesia League 1 on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malut United vs PSBS Biak Numfor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malut United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Malut United 42%, draw 27%, PSBS Biak Numfor 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malut United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malut United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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