Al Karkh 2-2 Newroz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.4pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Newroz EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.43/0.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.21/1.25
-61% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +119% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
246 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Newroz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh and Newroz shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Newroz?

Al Karkh 2-2 Newroz in the Iraq - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Newroz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Karkh win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 34%, draw 33%, Newroz 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Karkh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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