18/04/2025
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Qasim Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
Over 2.5
41%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
34%
31%
Draw
32%
31%
Away Win
34%
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
49%
BTTS No
60%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Naft Al-Basra v Al-Qasim — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Naft Al-Basra
EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Qasim
EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% /
-7%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-16% /
-16%
0.32/0.34
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.35/0.68
-68%
/
+150%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-71%
/
+53%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
5
241 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
324 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Qasim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Naft Al-Basra and Al-Qasim couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Qasim?
Naft Al-Basra 2-2 Al-Qasim in the Iraq - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Naft Al-Basra vs Al-Qasim?
Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Al-Basra win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naft Al-Basra 38%, draw 31%, Al-Qasim 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naft Al-Basra), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Naft Al-Basra)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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IRAK
More Iraq - Premier League
18 Apr 2025