Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.34
2-3 Goals
34%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.69
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-8.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.0pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foolad Khuzestan EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 18%
+9% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.21/0.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.56/1.42
-23% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
392 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foolad Khuzestan
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Shams Azar Qazvin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
13.12.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 0-3 HT 0-2 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
12.04.2024 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0 HT 0-0 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan IRAN
27.10.2023 Foolad Khuzestan Foolad Khuzestan 0-1 HT 0-1 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Foolad Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foolad Khuzestan edged past Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Foolad Khuzestan as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Shams Azar Qazvin led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Foolad Khuzestan and 0.67 for Shams Azar Qazvin.

What was the final score of Foolad Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Foolad Khuzestan 1-0 Shams Azar Qazvin in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foolad Khuzestan vs Shams Azar Qazvin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foolad Khuzestan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Foolad Khuzestan 51%, draw 26%, Shams Azar Qazvin 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foolad Khuzestan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Foolad Khuzestan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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