Police vs Ulinzi Stars Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Police v Ulinzi Stars — Team-Based Signals
Police vs Ulinzi Stars Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-2
HT 0-0
Police
KEN2
0-0
Ulinzi Stars
KEN2
Police 0-1 Ulinzi Stars — Actual Match Statistics
Ulinzi Stars nicked a narrow win over Police 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Police at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Police had 53% of the ball to Ulinzi Stars's 47%, shots finished 11-14.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Police and 0.50 for Ulinzi Stars.
What was the final score of Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
Police 0-1 Ulinzi Stars in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Police vs Ulinzi Stars?
Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Police 41%, draw 30%, Ulinzi Stars 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Police) went the other way.