Posta Rangers 1-0 Leopards SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kenya - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
14%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.3pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.4pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Posta Rangers EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Leopards SC EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.91/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/0.92
-3% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -15%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Posta Rangers
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Leopards SC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.09.2024 Leopards SC Leopards SC 0-1 HT 0-0 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN
09.12.2021 Leopards SC Leopards SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Posta Rangers Posta Rangers KEN2
POST-MATCH Posta Rangers vs Leopards SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Posta Rangers nicked a narrow win over Leopards SC 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Leopards SC at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Posta Rangers and 0.50 for Leopards SC.

What was the final score of Posta Rangers vs Leopards SC?

Posta Rangers 1-0 Leopards SC in the Kenya - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Posta Rangers vs Leopards SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leopards SC win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Posta Rangers 26%, draw 29%, Leopards SC 46%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leopards SC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leopards SC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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