Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Llaneros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
21%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-4.2pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Llaneros EU Bookmakers 29%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.20/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.99
+8% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / -36%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 75%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 3.0
14.5 Crosses 10.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Llaneros
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
04.09.2023 Llaneros Llaneros 1-2 HT 1-1 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
05.06.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 0-1 HT 0-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLB
25.05.2023 Llaneros Llaneros 2-1 HT 2-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
20.03.2023 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-1 HT 1-0 Llaneros Llaneros KOLPB
08.11.2022 Llaneros Llaneros 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLB
15.10.2022 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 1-2 HT 1-1 Llaneros Llaneros KOLB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortaleza CEIF
1-0
AWAY Llaneros
1.04 xG 0.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 11
210 Passes 237
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortaleza CEIF vs Llaneros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF squeezed past Llaneros 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortaleza CEIF as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortaleza CEIF had 47% of the ball to Llaneros's 53%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.04 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Llaneros led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Fortaleza CEIF and 1.17 for Llaneros.

What was the final score of Fortaleza CEIF vs Llaneros?

Fortaleza CEIF 1-0 Llaneros in the Colombia - Primera on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortaleza CEIF vs Llaneros?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortaleza CEIF win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Fortaleza CEIF 47%, draw 32%, Llaneros 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza CEIF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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