Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.42
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.62
Over 2.5
39%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.6
No
62%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
66%
-12.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
66%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 14%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.23/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.35
+21% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
328 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 75%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.3
20.2 Crosses 10.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Envigado
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.86 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
265 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
25.03.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 HT 2-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
15.07.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
25.01.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
20.08.2022 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
08.04.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 HT 3-0 Envigado Envigado KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
1-0
AWAY Envigado
0.90 xG 0.40
64% Ball Possession 36%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 8
369 Passes 182
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga nicked a narrow win over Envigado 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 64% of the ball to Envigado's 36%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 0.90 to 0.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.67 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Envigado?

Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 54%, draw 27%, Envigado 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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