Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 Envigado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+5.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-5.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.3pp
59%
BTTS No
55%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Envigado EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -4%
1.32/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.32
+17% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
17.9 Crosses 12.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Envigado
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.11 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
306 Passes 298
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.07.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
25.01.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
20.08.2022 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
08.04.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 HT 3-0 Envigado Envigado KOLK
30.03.2022 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
22.02.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-2 HT 0-2 Envigado Envigado KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
3-1
AWAY Envigado
0.72 xG 0.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
250 Passes 316
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 17
6 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Envigado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga got the better of Envigado 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Bucaramanga as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 45% of the ball to Envigado's 55%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.72 to 0.50.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 0.83 for Envigado.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Envigado?

Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Envigado?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 48%, draw 27%, Envigado 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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