Aguilas Doradas 1-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 25 Mar 2024

📅25/03/2024 · 🕒04:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.7pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -4%
1.10/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.15
+7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
16.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
16.9 Crosses 16.6
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aguilas Doradas
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santa Fe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.24 xG 0.92
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 Passes 268
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.10.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-5 HT 0-2 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
27.04.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-1 HT 3-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
09.03.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe CON CSA
15.07.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-2 HT 1-2 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
26.01.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 1-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
21.11.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aguilas Doradas
1-1
AWAY Santa Fe
0.92 xG 1.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
3 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 11
237 Passes 185
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
9 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aguilas Doradas vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas and Santa Fe shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Aguilas Doradas had 54% of the ball to Santa Fe's 46%, shots finished 3-17, expected goals 0.92 to 1.01.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aguilas Doradas and 1.33 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Aguilas Doradas vs Santa Fe?

Aguilas Doradas 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 25/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aguilas Doradas vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aguilas Doradas win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Aguilas Doradas 37%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Aguilas Doradas), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aguilas Doradas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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