Envigado 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
39%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+3.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-2.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Envigado EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.07/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.05
+17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +74% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 76%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
11.4 Crosses 19.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Envigado
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.00 xG 0.91
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
302 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 11
14 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.03.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 HT 2-1 Envigado Envigado KOL
15.07.2023 Envigado Envigado 1-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
25.01.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Envigado Envigado KOL
20.08.2022 Envigado Envigado 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
08.04.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 3-0 HT 3-0 Envigado Envigado KOLK
30.03.2022 Envigado Envigado 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Envigado
0-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.60 xG 0.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
173 Passes 267
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Envigado vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Envigado and Atletico Bucaramanga played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 30% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Envigado had 42% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 58%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.60 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Envigado and 1.67 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Envigado vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Envigado 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Envigado vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Envigado 31%, draw 30%, Atletico Bucaramanga 38%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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