Deportivo Cali 0-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒03:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
37%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+5.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.7pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-2.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.2pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -6%
1.00/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.91
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -27%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
16.7 Crosses 17.0
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Millonarios
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
25.08.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
07.08.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 4-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
14.02.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
15.08.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-2 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
0-1
AWAY Millonarios
1.00 xG 0.77
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
307 Passes 251
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Cali 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Millonarios made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 55% of the ball to Millonarios's 45%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 1.00 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.83 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Millonarios?

Deportivo Cali 0-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 34%, draw 29%, Millonarios 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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