Millonarios 1-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.53
Draw
31%
3.8
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
61%
-14.1pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.8pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
1.29/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.36
-9% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.1 Crosses 13.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.31 xG 1.05
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
301 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
05.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
07.08.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 4-2 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
14.02.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
15.08.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 2-2 HT 1-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
18.04.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
1-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.34 xG 1.28
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
475 Passes 200
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
19 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Millonarios at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Millonarios had 67% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 33%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.34 to 1.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Millonarios and 0.83 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali?

Millonarios 1-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 47%, draw 31%, Deportivo Cali 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Millonarios), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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