La Equidad vs Independiente Medellin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
La Equidad v Independiente Medellin — Team-Based Signals
La Equidad vs Independiente Medellin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
La Equidad
KOL
2-1
HT 2-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-1
HT 1-0
La Equidad
KOL
1-5
HT 0-3
Independiente Medellin
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
La Equidad 1-2 Independiente Medellin — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Medellin squeezed past La Equidad 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was La Equidad at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, La Equidad had 58% of the ball to Independiente Medellin's 42%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.42 to 2.13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for La Equidad and 1.50 for Independiente Medellin.
What was the final score of La Equidad vs Independiente Medellin?
La Equidad 1-2 Independiente Medellin in the Colombia - Primera on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Independiente Medellin?
Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 48%, draw 28%, Independiente Medellin 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.