Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒02:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+1.0pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
35%
-0.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.4pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 38%
-4% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / +2%
1.21/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.99
-20% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.1 Crosses 14.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Junior
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.94 xG 0.86
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
258 Passes 396
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.07.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
23.01.2022 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 2-1 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
02.10.2021 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
28.02.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
05.10.2020 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
22.07.2019 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 2-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Patriotas Boyaca
1-0
AWAY Junior
0.49 xG 0.42
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
209 Passes 497
77% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 11
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Patriotas Boyaca vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Patriotas Boyaca edged past Junior 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Patriotas Boyaca made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Patriotas Boyaca had 32% of the ball to Junior's 68%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.49 to 0.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Patriotas Boyaca had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Patriotas Boyaca and 0.67 for Junior.

What was the final score of Patriotas Boyaca vs Junior?

Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Patriotas Boyaca vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Patriotas Boyaca win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Patriotas Boyaca 35%, draw 30%, Junior 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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