Al Yarmouk 3-2 Kazma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒17:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.13
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
51%
2.03
Over
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.67
2-3
41%
1.8
4-5
20%
3.08
6+
10%
10.2
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.67 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+12.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Yarmouk EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Kazma EU Bookmakers 60%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -7%
0.82/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.01
-29% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Yarmouk
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kazma
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2025 Kazma Kazma 2-0 HT 1-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
07.03.2025 Kazma Kazma 3-1 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUVPK
02.11.2024 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 0-2 HT 0-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
27.11.2022 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 2-1 Kazma Kazma KUVFK
17.02.2022 Kazma Kazma 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk KUV
26.11.2021 Al Yarmouk Al Yarmouk 1-3 HT 0-1 Kazma Kazma KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Yarmouk
3-2
AWAY Kazma
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Yarmouk vs Kazma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Yarmouk squeezed past Kazma 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Kazma at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Al Yarmouk had 47% of the ball to Kazma's 53%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kazma led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Yarmouk and 1.83 for Kazma.

What was the final score of Al Yarmouk vs Kazma?

Al Yarmouk 3-2 Kazma in the Kuwait - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Yarmouk vs Kazma?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kazma win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Yarmouk 33%, draw 21%, Kazma 46%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kazma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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