Al Nasar 2-1 Khaitan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒19:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.82
Over
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
34%
3.14
2-3
40%
1.76
4-5
18%
3.46
6+
8%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.14 — our 34% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.5pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.8pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Khaitan EU Bookmakers 31%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
1.27/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.95
-23% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +79%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Khaitan
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
66% Ball Possession 34%
8 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
15.01.2025 Khaitan Khaitan 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
17.08.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-2 HT 0-1 Khaitan Khaitan KUV
03.01.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 0-0 Khaitan Khaitan KUV
06.10.2023 Khaitan Khaitan 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
11.05.2021 Khaitan Khaitan 4-2 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
09.03.2021 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 1-0 Khaitan Khaitan KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nasar
2-1
AWAY Khaitan
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Khaitan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar edged past Khaitan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 29%) promised a tight game; Al Nasar found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Nasar had 49% of the ball to Khaitan's 51%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Khaitan led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Nasar and 1.50 for Khaitan.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Khaitan?

Al Nasar 2-1 Khaitan in the Kuwait - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Khaitan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 35%, draw 35%, Khaitan 29%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/29) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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