Alianza Universidad 0-0 Atletico Grau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
37%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
61%
1.75
Over
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
39%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
41%
-8.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.5pp
37%
Away Win
31%
+6.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.5pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Universidad EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -12%
1.88/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.46
-23% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
17.7 Crosses 16.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Universidad
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
428 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
28.11.2020 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
27.08.2020 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-1 Alianza Universidad Alianza Universidad PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Universidad
0-0
AWAY Atletico Grau
1.80 xG 0.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 4
363 Passes 325
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Alianza Universidad vs Atletico Grau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Universidad and Atletico Grau played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Alianza Universidad had 52% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 48%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.80 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Universidad and 1.00 for Atletico Grau.

What was the final score of Alianza Universidad vs Atletico Grau?

Alianza Universidad 0-0 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Universidad vs Atletico Grau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Alianza Universidad 32%, draw 31%, Atletico Grau 37%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Grau) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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