Dynamo Kiev 3-0 Obolon Kyiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
65%
1.22
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
12%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
2.23
Over
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Dynamo Kiev win — 65%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
78%
-12.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+6.5pp
12%
Away Win
7%
+5.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.3pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
2.27/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.94
-1% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +10%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
538 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Obolon Kyiv
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Corners 5
19.10.2024 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 1-5 HT 0-3 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
11.12.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
04.08.2023 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 2-4 HT 1-3 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Obolon Kyiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev cruised past Obolon Kyiv 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Dynamo Kiev and 1.00 for Obolon Kyiv.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Obolon Kyiv?

Dynamo Kiev 3-0 Obolon Kyiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Obolon Kyiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 65%, draw 22%, Obolon Kyiv 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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