Vorskla Poltava 1-3 Oleksandria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 18 Apr 2025

📅18/04/2025 · 🕒14:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.52
Over
33%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.4
No
64%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
43%
4-5
17%
6+
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+4.9pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.1pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+5.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-5.5pp
36%
BTTS Yes
38%
-1.4pp
64%
BTTS No
62%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 48%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +2%
0.81/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.11
-20% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -15%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
248 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vorskla Poltava
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Oleksandria
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.10.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
15.03.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
02.09.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-0 HT 1-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
01.04.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 3-0 HT 2-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
12.09.2022 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
17.10.2021 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-2 HT 0-2 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vorskla Poltava
1-3
AWAY Oleksandria
2 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vorskla Poltava vs Oleksandria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria beat Vorskla Poltava 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (30% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Oleksandria found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 2-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Oleksandria led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 1.00 for Oleksandria.

What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Oleksandria?

Vorskla Poltava 1-3 Oleksandria in the Ukraine - Premier League on 18/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Oleksandria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 30%, draw 32%, Oleksandria 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oleksandria) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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