Oleksandria 1-0 Vorskla Poltava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒13:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.51
Over 2.5
47%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.27
No
53%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.1pp
53%
BTTS No
60%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oleksandria EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Vorskla Poltava EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -17%
1.73/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.48
+7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oleksandria
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vorskla Poltava
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2024 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-0 HT 0-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
02.09.2023 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 1-0 HT 1-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
01.04.2023 Oleksandria Oleksandria 3-0 HT 2-0 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
12.09.2022 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 0-0 HT 0-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
17.10.2021 Oleksandria Oleksandria 1-2 HT 0-2 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava UKR
27.02.2021 Vorskla Poltava Vorskla Poltava 3-1 HT 1-0 Oleksandria Oleksandria UKR
POST-MATCH Oleksandria vs Vorskla Poltava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oleksandria squeezed past Vorskla Poltava 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Oleksandria as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vorskla Poltava led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Oleksandria and 1.00 for Vorskla Poltava.

What was the final score of Oleksandria vs Vorskla Poltava?

Oleksandria 1-0 Vorskla Poltava in the Ukraine - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oleksandria vs Vorskla Poltava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oleksandria win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Oleksandria 49%, draw 27%, Vorskla Poltava 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oleksandria), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Oleksandria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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