Polessya 0-0 Livyi Bereh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.7pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Livyi Bereh EU Bookmakers 14%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +8%
2.04/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.26
-3% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +58%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
436 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Livyi Bereh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
08.12.2023 Polessya Polessya 1-1 HT 0-0 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh UKR
06.08.2023 Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh 2-1 HT 0-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Livyi Bereh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya and Livyi Bereh played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Polessya at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Livyi Bereh led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Polessya and 1.50 for Livyi Bereh.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Livyi Bereh?

Polessya 0-0 Livyi Bereh in the Ukraine - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Livyi Bereh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Polessya 55%, draw 26%, Livyi Bereh 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Polessya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Polessya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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