Obolon Kyiv 1-5 Dynamo Kiev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
12.23
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
61%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.44
No
68%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
6%
+12.5pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.7pp
61%
Away Win
77%
-16.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.1pp
32%
BTTS Yes
37%
-5.3pp
68%
BTTS No
63%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Obolon Kyiv EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 81%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
0.40/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.42/0.80
-43% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -15%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 465 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Obolon Kyiv
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Dynamo Kiev
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 15
5 Corners 4
11.12.2023 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 2-0 HT 0-0 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv UKR
04.08.2023 Obolon Kyiv Obolon Kyiv 2-4 HT 1-3 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
POST-MATCH Obolon Kyiv vs Dynamo Kiev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev swept aside Obolon Kyiv 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dynamo Kiev led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Obolon Kyiv and 3.00 for Dynamo Kiev.

What was the final score of Obolon Kyiv vs Dynamo Kiev?

Obolon Kyiv 1-5 Dynamo Kiev in the Ukraine - Premier League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Obolon Kyiv vs Dynamo Kiev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Obolon Kyiv 18%, draw 20%, Dynamo Kiev 61%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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