Stevenage 2-2 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 18 Apr 2026

📅18/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.9
6+ Goals
9%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.2pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
0.90/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.05
-7% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
281 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 67%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
17.2 Crosses 15.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Lincoln City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.75 xG 0.88
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
208 Passes 223
62% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Lincoln City Lincoln City 1-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
04.01.2025 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
31.08.2024 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
02.03.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
18.11.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
16.02.2019 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-2 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
2-2
AWAY Lincoln City
1.04 xG 0.47
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
160 Passes 258
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stevenage and Lincoln City couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stevenage had 40% of the ball to Lincoln City's 60%, shots finished 7-7, expected goals 1.04 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Stevenage and 0.67 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Lincoln City?

Stevenage 2-2 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 18/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 35%, draw 29%, Lincoln City 36%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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