Stevenage 0-1 Lincoln City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.48
6+ Goals
9%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.55
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
12%
4.96
X/2
8%
5.71
X/X
17%
4.03
2/1
8%
31.5
2/2
24%
4.33
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stevenage EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lincoln City EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +26%
1.25/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.11
-14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 69%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
24.4 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lincoln City
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.14 xG 0.41
50% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
190 Passes 232
59% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Lincoln City Lincoln City 0-0 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
18.11.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 1-0 HT 0-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN1
16.02.2019 Lincoln City Lincoln City 2-2 HT 0-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
08.12.2018 Stevenage Stevenage 0-1 HT 0-1 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN2
26.12.2017 Lincoln City Lincoln City 3-0 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2
09.09.2017 Stevenage Stevenage 1-2 HT 1-0 Lincoln City Lincoln City İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
0-1
AWAY Lincoln City
0.27 xG 0.89
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 3
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
185 Passes 130
62% Pass Accuracy 54%
15 Box Touches 7
23 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stevenage vs Lincoln City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lincoln City nicked a narrow win over Stevenage 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lincoln City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stevenage had 56% of the ball to Lincoln City's 44%, shots finished 7-3, expected goals 0.27 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lincoln City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stevenage and 1.33 for Lincoln City.

What was the final score of Stevenage vs Lincoln City?

Stevenage 0-1 Lincoln City in the England - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stevenage vs Lincoln City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lincoln City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 32%, draw 30%, Lincoln City 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lincoln City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lincoln City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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