Northampton Town 0-0 Burton Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.45
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.07
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.93
X/2
11%
6.53
X/X
14%
4.64
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.56
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 13% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.56/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.42
+1% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 64%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
15.7 Crosses 14.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Burton Albion
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.88 xG 0.95
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
230 Passes 236
66% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Burton Albion Burton Albion 0-2 HT 0-2 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
11.11.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
13.02.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
21.11.2020 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-3 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
05.01.2020 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-4 HT 1-3 Northampton Town Northampton Town FAK
25.04.2015 Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-1 HT 3-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
0-0
AWAY Burton Albion
0.96 xG 0.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
225 Passes 262
65% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Burton Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town and Burton Albion played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Northampton Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Northampton Town had 48% of the ball to Burton Albion's 52%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.96 to 0.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Northampton Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Northampton Town and 1.33 for Burton Albion.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Burton Albion?

Northampton Town 0-0 Burton Albion in the England - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Burton Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northampton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 41%, draw 29%, Burton Albion 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Northampton Town), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Northampton Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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