Reading 2-0 Charlton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.65
6+ Goals
9%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.39
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1 EV+ ✓
20%
5.17
X/2
7%
6.01
X/X
12%
4.44
2/1
6%
28.0
2/2
20%
4.19
2/X
9%
13.0
Value flag · X/1 at 5.17 — our 20% vs market 14.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.34/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.27
-8% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 74%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
18.6 Crosses 16.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Charlton Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.35 xG 1.31
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
322 Passes 299
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Reading Reading 2-0 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İN1
06.12.2023 Reading Reading 1-1 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNTK
21.10.2023 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 4-0 HT 0-0 Reading Reading İN1
11.07.2020 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 0-1 HT 0-1 Reading Reading İNCL
31.08.2019 Reading Reading 0-2 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
27.02.2016 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 3-4 HT 1-3 Reading Reading İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
2-0
AWAY Charlton Athletic
0.90 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
330 Passes 255
74% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Reading vs Charlton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reading saw off Charlton Athletic 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Reading as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Reading had 54% of the ball to Charlton Athletic's 46%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 0.90 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reading had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Reading and 1.67 for Charlton Athletic.

What was the final score of Reading vs Charlton Athletic?

Reading 2-0 Charlton Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Charlton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Reading 41%, draw 27%, Charlton Athletic 33%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reading), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Reading) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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