Shrewsbury 3-0 Leyton Orient — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 31 Aug 2024

📅31/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.78
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
20.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.78 — our 34% vs market 30.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.27
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
11%
6.66
X/2
15%
4.35
X/X
9%
4.36
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.92
2/X
12%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
28%
+2.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.7pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
0.90/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.93
-13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +125%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
199 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 73%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
18.6 Crosses 10.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Leyton Orient
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.13 xG 1.26
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
153 Passes 325
53% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 4
23.09.2023 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-0 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
07.01.2014 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
10.08.2013 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 3-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
09.03.2013 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
10.11.2012 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 2-1 HT 1-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
04.03.2006 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-3 HT 3-2 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
3-0
AWAY Leyton Orient
1.53 xG 0.20
27% Ball Possession 73%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
132 Passes 536
58% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Leyton Orient
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shrewsbury cruised past Leyton Orient 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Leyton Orient at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 27% of the ball to Leyton Orient's 73%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 1.53 to 0.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leyton Orient led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Shrewsbury and 2.17 for Leyton Orient.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Leyton Orient?

Shrewsbury 3-0 Leyton Orient in the England - 1st Division on 31/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Leyton Orient?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 30%, draw 28%, Leyton Orient 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Leyton Orient), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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