Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.48
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.81
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.61
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
20%
4.96
X/2
14%
5.72
X/X
12%
3.83
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
14%
4.42
2/X
10%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.7pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burton Albion EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +8%
1.29/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.90
-5% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
284 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 63%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.9 Crosses 16.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burton Albion
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Northampton Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.96 xG 1.04
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
243 Passes 217
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.11.2023 Northampton Town Northampton Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
13.02.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN1
21.11.2020 Burton Albion Burton Albion 1-3 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
05.01.2020 Burton Albion Burton Albion 2-4 HT 1-3 Northampton Town Northampton Town FAK
25.04.2015 Burton Albion Burton Albion 3-1 HT 3-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN2
11.10.2014 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Burton Albion Burton Albion İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burton Albion
0-2
AWAY Northampton Town
0.90 xG 0.38
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
215 Passes 268
62% Pass Accuracy 69%
33 Box Touches 5
29 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Burton Albion vs Northampton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northampton Town got the better of Burton Albion 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Northampton Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Burton Albion had 49% of the ball to Northampton Town's 51%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.90 to 0.38 — on chances, Burton Albion could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Burton Albion and 1.83 for Northampton Town.

What was the final score of Burton Albion vs Northampton Town?

Burton Albion 0-2 Northampton Town in the England - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burton Albion vs Northampton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burton Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Burton Albion 39%, draw 27%, Northampton Town 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Burton Albion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burton Albion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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