Reading 2-3 Shrewsbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 24 Feb 2024

📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.4
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
19%
3.95
X/2
8%
8.4
X/X
11%
4.61
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
7%
6.83
2/X
7%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 25%
+19% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.63/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.24
+35% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
360 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 67%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
15.8 Crosses 14.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Shrewsbury
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.39 xG 1.73
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 11
223 Passes 265
66% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-2 HT 1-2 Reading Reading İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading
2-3
AWAY Shrewsbury
1.10 xG 0.52
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
452 Passes 181
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
30 Box Touches 6
25 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Reading vs Shrewsbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shrewsbury squeezed past Reading 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Reading at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Reading had 66% of the ball to Shrewsbury's 34%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.10 to 0.52 — on chances, Reading could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Reading vs Shrewsbury?

Reading 2-3 Shrewsbury in the England - 1st Division on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading vs Shrewsbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Reading 54%, draw 24%, Shrewsbury 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reading) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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